The August Seasonal Forecast Worx predicts that current ENSO-neutral conditions may develop into a weak La Niña event by the end of the year – supported by the plume of forecast. There are enhanced probabilities of a wetter than normal spring and mid-summer over the larger part of summer rainfall region. Enhanced probabilities of a drier than normal spring in the southwestern and southern Cape. The forecasts also suggest enhanced probabilities of warmer than average conditions over the larger part of the region, except over the southwestern and southern coastal parts where it is likely to be cooler than average. Mid-summer temperatures over the eastern half are not expected to be unseasonably high.

The forecast can be accessed here. Have a look at our archive of forecasts here.