How changes to South Africa’s value-added tax affect compliance among small firms

Taxes “are the dues that we pay for the privileges of membership in an organised society”.

As the quote from US president Franklin D Roosevelt in 1936 suggests, governments across the world need to collect tax revenue to be able to provide public goods and services to their citizens. There are a number of forms of taxes. The most common taxes are personal income tax, corporate income tax, and value-added tax (VAT).

South Africa’s current VAT system is based on New Zealand’s VAT system. It was and introduced in South Africa in 1991 at a rate of 10%, replacing the general sales tax system which was levied at 12%.

Since VAT is more broad-based than the general sales tax, the effect on tax revenue collected was deemed to be neutral in terms of tax revenue collection.

The South African VAT system is found to be mildly regressive, where a larger percentage of income is taken from the poor in comparison to the rich. But it is a good source of government revenue in comparison with other tax types, as individuals in the informal sector also contribute to the revenue stream.

Overall, the South African tax system is viewed as being progressive in nature, as the rich pay tax at a higher rate than the poor . Which is why VAT shouldn’t be considered in isolation.

In an attempt to increase tax revenue collection, the VAT rate in South Africa was increased from 14% to 15% on 1 April 2018 after it had remained unchanged for 15 years (since 1993).

The increase in the VAT rate resulted in an increase in VAT payments of 4.2% in 2018/19 and 5.8% in 2019/2020.

All entities that make sales in South Africa in excess of R1 million in a 12-month period need to register as a VAT vendor. These vendors need to levy output tax on all sales made and are seen as agents of the revenue authority.

The entities can also claim input tax on all purchases made on which VAT was levied, if it is used for business purposes. The net amount remaining after subtracting the input tax from the output tax must be paid to the South African Revenue Service.

Increasing the tax rate is a seemingly easy way to raise tax revenue. However, there are dangers. We explored one of these in our research – the effect of changes in the VAT rate on tax compliance behaviour by small businesses in South Africa.

Why small businesses?

The South African Revenue Service has indicated that small businesses are a high-risk sector as tax registration is particularly low in this sector. They have also indicated that an increased audit focus will be placed on small, medium and micro enterprises.

Our field experiment involved an online questionnaire that was completed by participants in managerial positions of small businesses. The participants were assigned to one of four possible treatment groups: where the participants experience either an increase or decrease of 1 percentage point in the VAT rate, or where the participants experience either an increase or decrease of 5 percentage points in the VAT rate.

Our aim was to determine whether an increase in the VAT rate might lead to larger tax evasion. The research also considered whether tax compliance behaviour would increase with a decrease in the VAT rate, since the benefit of evading taxes might seem less appealing. Some countries, such as Kenya, Greece, Belgium, Germany, Austria, Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Portugal and Moldova reduced their VAT rates in the wake of COVID-19 to provide some relief.

The issues are important because businesses might opt for non-compliance if the rate is raised. This defeats the objective of tax increases as less revenue is collected.

We found that tax compliance levels among small business did indeed drop when the VAT rate was increased, especially if the increase was a 5 percentage point increase.

Compliance

Tax compliance is the term used to describe whether taxpayers meet their legal tax obligations. This includes registering as and when required, submitting all relevant tax returns on time, reflecting the right amount of tax liability and paying that liability on time.

Better tax compliance obviously leads to higher tax revenue being collected for a government.

The study found that small business entities are inclined to reduce the VAT liability when there is an increase in the VAT rate. This may possibly be because the entity perceives it to be financially more beneficial to evade taxes when there is an increase in the VAT rate, even if considering the penalties charged if caught cheating (expected utility theory). They do so by overstating purchases rather than under-declaring sales. This leads to an increase in non-compliance and a decrease in tax revenue collection.

The greater the magnitude of the VAT rate increase, the greater the level of non-compliance.

No significant relationships were identified between a decrease in the VAT rate and tax compliance.

Insights

The results could be valuable to policymakers in countries considering a change in the VAT rate to increase tax revenue.

Our research suggests that a small increase (one percentage point) in the VAT rate could limit the extent of non-compliance compared to a large increase (five percentage points).

A graduated and carefully calibrated approach, where rate increases are in prospect may, therefore, be preferable to large scale, once-off increases.The Conversation

Anculien Schoeman, Senior lecturer in Taxation, University of Pretoria

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Anculien Schoeman

December 5, 2021

  • Estimated Reading Time: 3 minutes

Researchers
  • Dr Anculien Schoeman
    Dr Anculien Schoeman has been doing research at the University of Pretoria (UP) for the past eight years. She completed her undergraduate studies at UP and in 2021, graduated from the University with a PhD in Taxation.

    Since receiving her doctorate, Dr Schoeman has been researching ways to improve tax compliance behaviour. “If a government can improve tax compliance, tax revenue collection should also improve, giving governments the financial means to provide better goods and services to the public,” she says.

    Dr Schoeman is working with researchers from the EDHEC Business School in France on a project that involves an experimental game on tax compliance behaviour that is being conducted among students. The aim is to provide them with a debrief after the simulation on how tax compliance affects the ability of the government to provide necessary goods and services, and create fairness towards other taxpayers.

    Dr Schoeman says her research matters because she is working to provide practical solutions or show the practical effect for government of certain policy changes in terms of tax registration and compliance.
    “When I started my academic career and felt forced to do research, I struggled to understand the value of our research field. However, as time went by, I realised that the taxation field has a significant impact on everyone’s lives: those who work and earn a large enough salary need to pay tax. Then, governments need to use this money to provide the necessary goods and services for everyone. Therefore, taxation affects everyone. Doing research in this field, which is practical and relevant, can positively influence the lives of many people.”

    Several people inspired Dr Schoeman to become a better researcher. She mentions Professor Stella Nkomo who led article writing workshops for a number of years. Dr Schoeman says Prof Nkomo’s passion for research was amazing and inspiring. “Also, my study leaders, Prof Chris Evans and Prof Hanneke du Preez, really motivated me through difficult times and assisted me in becoming a better researcher.”

    She regards Prof Du Preez as a role model. “She is a passionate person overall. She loves spending time with her family and she is brilliant at her work. She is also involved with so many people in research, with the result that publications are flowing in for her. Of course, that is after she has put in all the hard work to get her various research teams going.”

    Dr Schoeman plans to complete her current research project to improve tax compliance behaviour, and hopes that it will be implemented nationally.

    In her free time, she plays the violin, piano and a bit of organ. She also enjoys playing netball and tennis when the opportunity arises, and has taken up mountain biking.
    More from this Researcher

Other Related Research

  • Story

    UP scientists home in on gene that could play pivotal role in diet-induced obesity

    Researchers at the University of Pretoria (UP) may have identified the gene that is responsible for diet-related obesity. By exploring the role of the novel gene Slc7a8, they have made a potential breakthrough in current knowledge about the cellular mechanisms that drive fat accumulation. This understanding is crucial in developing effective treatments.

  • Infographic

    Weighing in on obesity rates

    The prevalence of obesity is a significant concern, with recent global statistics showing that one in eight people worldwide are living with obesity. In Africa, the situation is more dire, with one in five adults affected; in South Africa, the figure is even higher, with one in four adults living with obesity.

  • Story

    RE.SEARCH 11: Digital Worlds

    The latest issue of the University of Pretoria’s award-winning RE.SEARCH magazine is available now and reflects a shift towards both a fresher design and outlook. This edition is curated under the theme ‘Digital’, and offers a glimpse into some of the fascinating research we’re doing at UP to drive digital leadership and innovation.

Copyright © University of Pretoria 2025. All rights reserved.

Share