Dr Ansie Smit

I'm a researcher with a PhD in Mathematical Statistics with application to geosciences. I have participated in over 30 commercial and research projects; successfully co-supervised postgraduate students in Geoinformatics and Statistics and co-authored articles in high-ranking peer-reviewed journals.  

My research interests are methodologies to counter the effect of missing data in the statistical analysis procedures, numerical and computing techniques, data analysis, applied statistical methods necessary for hazard and risk assessment, and the derivation of general worst-case scenarios, This includes the development of a methodology that can be applied to hazard and risk assessment for various natural disasters such as earthquakes, tsunami, floods, fires, and operational risks.

My aim is to improve my statistical skills in academia, especially focussing on hazard and risk assessment to the benefit of society. 

I enjoy working with students and other academics in a multidisciplinary environment and am capable of functioning independently or as part of a dynamic team.

 

Contact details

Email: ansie.smit(at)up.ac.za

Tel: +27 12 420 2282

 

Research Interests

  • Numerical and computational techniques 

  • Applied statistical methods 

  • Statistical seismology 

  • Natural hazard and risk estimation

 

Education

2019: PhD Mathematical Statistics, University of Pretoria
 
2010: MSc Mathematical Statistics, University of Pretoria
 
2003: Bsc(Hons) Mathematical Statistics, University of Pretoria
 
2002: BSc Financial Mathematics, University of Pretoria
 
 

Employment

2020 to current     Senior Lecturer (Geology) & Researcher (UP Natural Hazard Centre, Africa, UP)
 

2013 to 2019        Researcher (UP Natural Hazard Centre, UP)

 

Publications

Kijko, A., Vermeulen, P.J. and Smit, A. (2021). Estimation Techniques for Seismic Recurrence Parameters for Incomplete Catalogues. Surveys in Geophysics, pp.1-21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-021-09672-2

Dyson, L.L., Pienaar, N., Smit, A., Kijko, A. (2021). An ERA-Interim HAILCAST hail climatology for southern Africa. Submitted to International Journal of Climatology, 41(1), pp.262-277

Kijko, A. and Smit, A. (2019). Estimation of the Frequency-Magnitude Gutenberg-Richter b-value without Knowledge of the Time-Varying Level of Completeness. Proceedings of the 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR 2019). Editors Jianye Ching, Dian-Qing Li and Jie Zhang. doi: 10.3850/978-981-11-2725-0_IS11-2-cd.

Smit, A., Stein, A., Kijko, A. (2019). Bayesian Inference in Natural Hazard Analysis for Incomplete and Uncertain Data. Environmetrics. doi.org/10.1002/env.2566

Ngongang, A.W., Lenhardt, N. and Smit, A. (2019). Seismic hazard parameter estimation of the Mount Cameroon volcanic region (Cameroon) based on a combination of mixed catalogs. Natural Hazards, pp.369-388. doi.org/10.1007/s11069-018-3547-x.

Esterhuyse, S., Avenant, M., Redelinghuys, N., Kijko, A., Glazewski, J., Plit, L., Kemp, M., Smit, A. and Vos, A.T., (2018). Monitoring of unconventional oil and gas extraction and its policy implications: A case study from South Africa. Energy Policy, 118, pp.109-120. doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.03.001

Kijko, A., Smit, A., Papadopoulos, G.A. and Novikova, T., (2018). Tsunami Hazard Assessment of Coastal South Africa Based on Mega-Earthquakes of Remote Subduction Zones. Pure Appl. Geophys. 175 (4), 1287-1304. doi.org/10.1007/s00024-017-1727-3

Esterhuyse, S., F Sokolic, N Redelinghuys, M Avenant, A Kijko, J. Glazewski, L. Plit, M. Kemp, A. Smit, A.T Vos, M.J. von Maltitz (2017). Vulnerability mapping as a tool to manage the environmental impacts of oil and gas extraction. Royal Society Open Science, Energy Policy, 118, pp. 109-120. doi.org/10.1098/rsos.171044

Hamdache, M., Peláez, J.A., Kijko, A. and Smit, A. (2017). Energetic and spatial characterization of seismicity in the Algeria–Morocco region. Natural Hazards, 86 (2), 273-293, 2, doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2514-7

Smit, A., Kijko, A., Stein, A. (2017). Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment from Incomplete and Uncertain Historical Catalogues with Application to Tsunamigenic Regions in the Pacific Ocean. Pure and Applied Geophysics. Vol 174 (8): 3065-3081. doi.org/10.1007/s00024-017-1564-4

Kijko, A. and Smit, A., (2017). Estimation of the Frequency–Magnitude Gutenberg–Richter b‐Value without Making Assumptions on Levels of Completeness. Seismological Research Letters, 88(2A), pp.311-318. doi.org/10.1785/0220160177

Liebenberg, K., Smit, A., Coetzee, S., Kijko, A. (2017). A GIS approach to seismic risk assessment with an application to mining-related seismicity in Johannesburg, South Africa. Acta Geophysica. doi.org/10.1007/s11600-017-0052-7

Kijko, A., Smit, A. and Sellevoll, M.A., (2017). Reply to “Comment on ‘Estimation of Earthquake Hazard Parameters from Incomplete Data Files. Part III. Incorporation of Uncertainty of Earthquake‐Occurrence Model’by Andrzej Kijko, Ansie Smit, and Markvard A. Sellevoll” by Gert Zöller. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. 107(4): 1979-1982. doi.org/10.1785/0120160303

Chapter in book:  Kijko, A., Kahle, B., Smit, A., Esterhuyse, E., Glazewski, J. (2016) Hydraulic Fracturing, Waster Water Pumping and Seismicity.  Chapter 13 in Proposed Hydraulic Fracturing in the Karoo: Critical Perspectives, Jan Glazewski (ed) Juta and Co, Cape Town, In Press. juta.co.za/products/hydraulic-fracturing-in-the-karoo-critical-legal-and-environmental-perspectives/

Esterhuyse, S., Avenant, M., Redelinghuys, N., Kijko, A., Glazewski, J., Plit, L., Kemp, M., Smit, A., Vos, A.T. and Williamson, R. (2016). A review of biophysical and socio-economic effects of unconventional oil and gas extraction–Implications for South Africa. Journal of Environmental Management, 184, pp.419-430. doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.09.065

Kijko, A., Smit, A., Sellevoll, M.A. (2016). Estimation of Earthquake Hazard Parameters from Incomplete Data Files. Part III. Incorporation if Uncertainty of Earthquake-Occurrence Model. Accepted for publication in Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 106(3). pp.1210-1222. doi.org/10.1785/0120150252 

Kijko, A., Smit, A., Van De Coolwijk, N. (2015). A scenario approach to estimate the maximum foreseeable loss for buildings due to an earthquake in Cape Town. SAAJ 15, pp1-30. doi.org/10.4314/saaj.v15i1.1

Du Plessis, I., Liebenberg, K., Smit, A., Coetzee, S., Kijko, A. (2015). Preliminary investigation into the cause of acid mine water induced seismicity in Johannesburg. South African Journal of Geomatics, 4(3), pp299-308. dx.doi.org/10.4314/sajg.v4i3.10

Paasche, H., Eberle, D., Das, S., Cooper, A., Debba, P., Dietrich, P., Dudeni-Thlone, N., Gläßer, C., Kijko, A., Knobloch, A., Lausch, A., Meyer, U., Smit, A., Stettler, A., Werban, U. (2014). Are Earth Sciences lagging behind in data integration methodologies? Environmental Earth Sciences, 71. pp 1997-2003. doi.org/10.1007/s12665-013-2931-9   

Technical Report: Esterhuyse, S., Avenant M, Watson M, Redelinghuys N, Kijko A, Glazewski J, Plit LA, Kemp M, Smit A, Sokolic F, Vos AT. (2014). Development of an interactive vulnerability map and monitoring framework to assess the potential environmental impact of unconventional oil and gas extraction by means of hydraulic fracturing. Water Research Commission Report; 2014 Oct. wrc.org.za/Knowledge%20Hub%20Documents/Research%20Reports/2149-1-14.pdf

Kijko, A., Smit, A., (2012). Extension of the b-value Estimator for Incomplete Catalogs. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am, 102, Number 3, 1283–1287. DOI: 10.1785/0120110226. doi.org/10.1785/0120110226

 

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